Posted On: Tuesday - September 28th 2021 4:17PM MST
In Topics:   Elections '16 - '24  Trump  ctrl-left
...you don't know what you've got till it's gone...
(No, Joni Mitchell wasn't singing about the rule of law, but I am.)
We've got plenty of other stupidity to post about. The work being done by Trump supporters and Conservatives to prove out the myriad types of fraud and error in many States' in the '20 Presidential election error and fraud is a subject that Peak Stupidity has not been following at all due to reasons I'll put at the end. However, for those who don't read all the comments (hey, what's wrong with you?!) here is a wrap of of this subject, with lots of numbers, for Arizona. Mr. Hail brought up the many problems that stem from in the lax new voting method that allowed mass mail-in balloting. It's in the comments below this post.
** Results of Arizona Maricopa County forensic audit of Election 2020 **
57,000+ problematic votes were cast and counted, (2.75% of votes cast).
Some of these were definitely illegally cast under law. Most would be rejected under a strict-scrutiny system. The rules were all relaxed, citing --- prepare yourself, this may come as a shock --- citing the ongoing Corona Flu Apocalypse and health catastrophe. Election authorities did their part to Slow The Spread (or whatever) by loosening the rules.
This in addition to whatever effect there was of the mandated mass mail-in voting without spillover into legal grey area on individual ballots, though of course some argue the entire mail-voting system mandate was of questionably legality.
All 57,000+ of these flagged votes are at least clearly in a grey area of legality and some even into a black area of "should have been rejected" --- absent the Corona-Panic's awesome power.
57,000+ illegal or legal-grey-area votes
2.07 million: Total votes counted in the county of Maricopa, including said 57,000 flagged votes.
That is a 2.75% problematic (arguably mostly or all illegal/rejectable) ballot rate.
The margin for the official results for this county--as certified by the governor under a cloud of suspicion, and over objections by the Arizona State Senate--in early December 2020:
Biden:Trump 50:48. The exact gap was 2.17% for the county itself.
Arizona statewide margin, certified result: 49.4% Biden to 49.1% Trump; absolute margin of 10,457 votes. The Maricopa County questionable-ballot rate exceeds the official victory margin by over 5x.
Exit polls suggest two-thirds of all votes counted in Arizona in 2020 were sent in by mail; all polls agree that mail-in voters broke for Biden by large margins. The official turnout in Arizona, as certified by the governor under a cloud of suspicion, was several points higher than normal, reaching 80% in 2020 vs. the mid-70s in other recent presidential elections; only 74% in 2016.
We can speculate on three sources of the +6 point voter-turnout rate, 2016 vs. 2020: (1) mail-in voting encouraging the marginal, lowest-info, laziest layer of potential voters to vote; (2) higher enthusiasm in 2020 than 2016; (3) one form or another of increased level of illegal voting.
If the 57,000 problematic ballots broke 60:40 for Biden, and if every single one of the problematic ballots were rejected rather than counted, and if all other counties' vote-totals were held constant, Trump would have won Arizona by a narrow margin. Trump won in in 2016 by 3.5 points.
US regime media headlines began reporting, early Friday, that the Arizona Audit had "confirmed that Biden won," when in fact what was meant, afaict, is there is no way to tell with certainty that the questionable-ballot margin would be really be 60:40 or not, or even which kind of problematic ballots should or should not be rejected.
The audit firm is not the government. It only worked in an advisory capacity. It is up to state law, in principle, to decide which ballots are to be counted and which rejected. But there are always grey areas requiring judgement calls. And then there are emergencies, for which laws can be suspended --- i.e., here the Corona Flu-Virus Catastrophe, which definitely threatened millions of deaths, they all sang in unison, and voting laws must be relaxed immediately to prevent more piles of flu deaths.
What is sovereignty? As a famous political theorist once put it, the sovereign is he who (or they who) have the power not to make "laws" but to make "exceptions," to decide when to make exceptions (declare emergencies) and when to go by the book. Grey areas on ballots seem a clear case of that, as does much else about the political effects of the Corona-Panic.
Back to the 2.75% questionable-ballot / potentially-illegal-ballot rate found for Maricopa County. Assuming it is correct --- and given the audit firm's triple-checking system and close scrutiny of every single ballot cast and counted, we should trust it --- we still would want to know:
(1) How much higher is it than normal for the same place? For example, is the base rate for this county 0.8-1.0% and then in Corona-Panic Year One it reached 2.75%, a 3x rise in 2020 over the elections of the previous few decades?
(2) Are other places higher or lower in absolute/relative terms? This is much harder to know. Arizona was not even one of the states with the late-night mystery-ballot dumps appearing from big metropolitan-area machines, conveniently appearing just in time to save Biden and make him president.
(3) European elections seem to publish full results including invalid/rejected ballots (sometimes called "spoiled ballots"). Why do I find no comparable data for the Arizona election? Surely they rejected SOME, somewhere. Did they reject ballots
Well, I will comment on one aspect, after all. Twice Mr. Hail brought up the use of the Kung Flu PanicFest to change procedures toward the even laxer side This is something we may have all noticed as a general thing. The type of people who understand "never letting a crisis go to waste" (I'll just call them Communists) are very good at this now. Think of some major changes to society based on this ginned-up PanicFest, and you'll see that they were almost all of benefit to the ctrl-left*: The trial period of what was basically a Universal Basic Income, paid for by borrowed or newly generated tax dollars, was one. That has proven to be an intense failure, as Peak Stupidity has attested to regarding the service industry in To the 3rd World - Warp Speed, Mr. Sulu!.
Of course, the newest push for Totalitarianism, with the LOCKDOWNS on demand, was the most egregious and important overall. Yes, this loosening of voting standards even more by most of the States was another way of not letting a (made-up) crisis go to waste.
Finally, the reasons I have not written a thing about the voting audits and investigations is, and I will just paste my comment from that same thread here:
... the reason I'm not following the story is not just that I've been reading on other political issues, or (some days) staying away from it all. It's also that I think the whole effort is hopeless. It's fine to set the record straight, but there is no way the political class will let even a bullet-proof explanation of a Trump victory in Arizona mean anything. They will just ignore the issue. The election results will not be changed, unless it's in the context of a coup (a real one this time).Now Mr. Hail had a lot of more important points to make in reply on that thread**. He and commenter Alarmist also noted that the point of all this is to not just set the record straight but give reports with solid data to be used to reform the election process in those States. I'm probably just too cynical, but where I live, all I would expect out of all that is that the race card would be played by the ctrl-left, who want the window for fraud to stay open, maybe even wider, every single time any legislator came up with a bill to remedy anything. No, we may all know that the reform will have not a thing to do with race. That won't matter. Said legislator will fold his hand against that magic race card.
Maybe I'll be pleasantly surprised. I would be glad to call State politicians in support of any bill. I am the one who said that some hope lies with the States. Perhaps I need to be in another one that makes me more hopeful.
No matter how I feel about it just writing here on the blog, I'm sure I'd feel better getting out and doing something about it. I'd have felt the most at home with the January 6th crowd***. Contrary to Mr. Hail's point about wanting to have good data to back up your actions, I think we are beyond that now. You either get enough people on your side and change things, whether through politics or otherwise, or you get rolled yet again by the ctrl-left. They don't care about no steeenking data! We've got to start thinking the same way. Don't try to explain things logically to the other side, or even your side. We know when we are right.
* I'll mention one exception that I can think of. That one is the homeschooling. I don't particularly mean the "remote schooling" that was implemented after schools got a plan, but just that this was a nice start for a change in mentality of many parents that "hey, maybe public schooling is not all it's cracked up to be" and "maybe homeschooling is for us after all" and "you don't have to be a crackpot fundamentalist..." (their wording) "... to homeschool".
** Mr. Hail also has a tie-in with the use of the January 6th protest/riot as "insurrection" and the curtailment of moves that were being made at the time to question the electoral vote result.
*** As I told our readers that afternoon, I almost went to it.